Changing Patterns of Entrepreneurship in Lebanon

Abstract

Despite some significant enterprise initiatives, relatively little is known about the level, pattern and distribution of entrepreneurship in Lebanon. Whilst Lebanon is typically regarded as entrepreneurial, and there is no shortage of Lebanese role models, there is a shortage of hard evidence about who are the entrepreneurs, and how the level of entrepreneurship varies by gender, across age groups, by level of educational attainment and by location. This paper will address these issues head-on, providing comprehensive survey data on the pattern of entrepreneurship across Lebanon and how that pattern is changing over time. However the paper will go beyond simply describing the level of entrepreneurship – it will also offer some evidence-based conjecture as to why that pattern is changing, and how policies may be adapted to encourage further growth. The research instrument for this evidence is the annual GEM survey of 2000+ adults in Lebanon, asking about their entrepreneurial activities, as well as their perceptions and demographics. In the past decade, Lebanon has participated in GEM in three years, (2009, 2015 & 2016), allowing patterns and trends to be established. The level of total early stage entrepreneurial activity, (TEA, or those actively starting or running a new business), increased from 15% in 2009 to 30% in 2015, before falling to 21% in 2016. However these averages are very blunt measures, which the detail of GEM allows to be unpicked. There are reasons to expect the level of TEA to have increased fastest in young people, given the emphasis on enterprise education and growth in entrepreneurial finance for hi-technology start-ups. There is some evidence for this – between 2009 and 2015, TEA for 18-24 year olds increased from 10% to 27%, before falling to 19% in 2016 – still almost twice the level of 2009. However, TEA for 45-54 year olds almost trebled between 2009 and 2015, (from 11% to 31%), before falling to 15% in 2016. In 2009, 45-54 year olds had been more entrepreneurial than 18-24 year olds. By 2016 this had reversed, with the younger age group being almost a third more likely to be starting or running a new business than the older age group. This paper will explore a number of key relationships with entrepreneurship, testing changes for their statistical significance and using results to develop evidence-based recommendations for the development of early-stage entrepreneurship in Lebanon.

References
[1] Decker, R., Haltiwenger, J., Jarmin, R., et al. (2014). The role of entrepreneurship in US job growth and economic dynamism. Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 28, no. 3, Summer, pp. 3–24.


[2] Wong, P., Ho, Y., and Autio, E. (2005). Entrepreneurship and economic growth, evidence from GEM data. Small Business Economics, vol. 24, no. 3, pp. 335–350.


[3] Daniels, C., Herrington, M., and Kew, P. (2015). Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, Special Report on Entrepreneurial Finance, GERA.


[4] Hill, S., Ramadan, M., Akhrass, E., et al. (2017). Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2016 National Report: Lebanon, UKLTH Beirut.


[5] Bosma, N. (2013). The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) and Its Impact on Entrepreneurial Research, Foundations and Trends in Entrepreneurship.


[6] International Development Research Centre. (2010). Global Entrepreneurship Monitor: GEM-MENA Regional Report 2009, IRDC Cairo.


[7] Reilly, C., Akhrass, E., Solorzano, M., et al. (2016). Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2015 National Report: Lebanon, UKLTH Beirut.