Mathematical Model of Aedes Outbreaks in Padang City Considering Climate Parameter

Abstract

Basic reproduction number is a threshold number that frequently found in the analysis of determining the spreads of population. Many methods have been derived to calculate basic reproduction number including eigen values or radius spectral and statistical approximation. However, the calculation of the threshold number is still not easy and tends to use a lot of computation. Another approach has been proposed using graph reduction. This approach has been applied to determine threshold number of Aedes spreads in Padang city depending on climate parameter. The daily rainfall data is used as an empirical study.


 


 


Keywords: basic reproduction number, population projection, graph reduction, climate parameters

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