The Prediction of Carbon Dioxide Emission Using ARIMA for Support Green Energy Development in Surabaya Municipality
Abstract
Surabaya is a metropolitan city in Indonesia. As well as the second largest city in Indonesia, with average yearly GDP growth of Surabaya increased 5 % of the national GDP, Surabaya has attraction for the urbanization and very strategic for the investors to build their industry in Surabaya. This leads to industrial sector, transportation, and the number of civilians growing rapidly which has the impact on the air quality in Surabaya. The most influential of air quality is the emission of Carbon Dioxide (CO2). Carbon Dioxide is a greenhouse gases that provide the largest contribution to global warming and climate change. This has negative impact to humans, so it is necessary conduct a research on the Carbon Dioxide emission growth being produced from the transportation, the industrial Sector, and household in Surabaya. The purpose of this research is to get prediction model for Carbon Dioxide emission growth being produced in the Surabaya. The prediction model can be represented the carbon Dioxide emissions growth in the next years that would give recommendations to the Surabaya Municipality Government for preventive action to reduce the Carbon Dioxide emission in Surabaya.
Keywords: Carbon dioxide; emission; prediction
References
Kyoto Protocol To The United Nations Framework Convention On Climate Change.1998.
The Kyoto Protocol Mechanisms. International Emissions Trading Clean Development Mechanism Joint Implementation. 2010
Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR). Potensi Penurunan Emisi Indonesia Melalui Perubahan Gaya Hidup Individu. 2011
Kyoto Protocol Reference. Manual On Accounting Of Emissions And Assigned Amount.2008
Environmental Department. “Low Carbon Society”. SLHD. 2012
Ruohong Peng. “ICT Solutions Calculation Model for CO2 Emission Reduction and Prediction on its Emission Reduction Potential”. IEEE. 2009
Li Xinwu. “The Effect of Demand Information on Carbon Emission in Low Carbon Green Supply Chain”. IEEE. 2012. (Int. Conference on Management of e-Commerce and e-Government
Jianpeng Zhou. “The Analysis on Carbon Emission Reduction effect of Closed-loop Supply chain Based on Government’s Recoverying subsidy”. IEEE. 2011. (Fourth Int. Joint Conference on Computional Science and Optization)
Ye Bin. “Pricing Carbon Allowance Based on Marginal Abatement Cost”. IEEE. 2012
Ratri Adiastri. “Kajian Mengenai Kemampuan Ruang Terbuka Hijau (RTH) Dalam Menyerap Emisi Karbon di Surabaya”. ITS. 2010
Ian G. Enting, Nathan Clisby. “Carbon-climate Measurements Mathematics Modelling”. MASCOS. The University of Melbourne. 2007.